Fearmongering or fair warning? A fierce debate over how bad California’s El Niño winter will get

For all the concerns about a historic El Niño fueling epic storms striking California this winter, there is still a surprising amount of debate among experts about how bad it will actually be.

Scientists are highly confident about the risk of coastal seawater flooding and beach erosion — fueled by rising sea levels and strong surf — with king tides coming around Thanksgiving, Christmas and Martin Luther King Jr. Day.

But when it comes to predicting the power of winter storms, there is far less consensus…

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