INDIANAPOLIS, INDIANA — A growing tornado threat is taking shape across the Ohio Valley, with updated high-resolution model guidance showing an uptick in tornado potential across Illinois, Indiana, Kentucky, Tennessee, and southern Ohio. Forecast data suggests that Thursday afternoon into the early evening could bring a few tornadoes, particularly if instability and low-level moisture increase as expected.
While this was never forecast to be a widespread outbreak, recent model runs show enough atmospheric alignment to warrant heightened attention.
Elevated Tornado Corridor Centered Over Indiana and Kentucky
The latest HRRR 3km Significant Tornado Parameter (0–6 km shear) highlights a focused zone of enhanced tornado potential stretching from southern Illinois through central Indiana and into Kentucky and Tennessee.
The most intense values appear clustered near:
- Central Indiana, including areas near Indianapolis
- Western and central Kentucky, including Louisville
- Portions of northern Tennessee
Southern Illinois and western Kentucky also remain within the broader risk zone…