ALABAMA — A line of storms currently moving across Louisiana is expected to push into Southwest Alabama between 4:00 and 5:00 a.m. Sunday, but forecasters say the system should gradually weaken as it arrives.
Latest forecast radar guidance shows a solid band of rain and embedded thunderstorms stretching from Louisiana into Mississippi, advancing eastward toward the Alabama state line during the pre-dawn hours. While the line appears organized now, atmospheric conditions over Alabama are expected to limit its intensity.
Why the Storms Are Expected to Weaken
Meteorologists point to:
- Limited surface instability
- Poor lapse rates
- A lack of strong atmospheric fuel to sustain severe storms
These factors should cause the line to weaken as it crosses into Alabama early Sunday morning.
Southwest Alabama: Low Severe Risk
The main area being monitored closely includes Mobile and Baldwin counties, where a small window for stronger storms cannot be completely ruled out. However, the overall severe weather threat remains low.
Residents in these counties may experience:
- Periods of moderate to heavy rain
- Occasional thunder
- Brief gusty winds in stronger cells
At this time, widespread severe storms are not expected.
Rest of Alabama: Just Rain and Thunder
For much of central and northern Alabama, this will mainly be a rain event. Forecast models show showers spreading across the state through the morning hours, with embedded thunder possible but no organized severe threat…