SOUTHEASTERN UNITED STATES — A rare winter weather setup is unfolding across the Deep South, where parts of Alabama, Georgia, and Mississippi may see snow develop overnight into early Sunday morning, with even a low-end chance for flakes reaching areas near the Gulf Coast.
Forecast confidence has increased slightly based on higher-resolution model data, but meteorologists stress that this remains a fine-margin event, where small shifts in storm strength or track could significantly change outcomes.
Why This Snow Threat Is Unusual for the South
This event is being driven by two key ingredients rarely aligned this far south at the same time:
- Cold Arctic air already in place across interior portions of the Southeast
- A weak surface low developing offshore, capable of pulling colder air westward and increasing snowfall potential
For anything more than flurries to occur, the offshore low must become just strong enough to draw in colder air while maintaining sufficient moisture. That outcome is still uncertain—but not off the table.
Areas Most Likely to See Snow
Based on the latest model guidance and ensemble trends:
- Central and eastern Alabama currently appear most favored for light accumulations, generally around 1 to 2 inches
- Portions of southern and central Georgia could see snow mix in, especially near daybreak
- Eastern Mississippi may experience snow showers or brief bursts, though amounts should remain light
- Along the Gulf Coast, snowflakes may be observed, but accumulation is unlikely
Snow bands are expected to be narrow and uneven, meaning some locations could see measurable snow while nearby areas see little to none.
Timing: Overnight Into Sunday Morning
Timing will be critical with this system:
- After midnight: Precipitation begins spreading east across Mississippi and Alabama
- Near daybreak: Best chance for heavier snow bursts, especially inland
- Mid to late morning Sunday: Snow tapers as temperatures slowly rise
Some model runs indicate brief periods of moderate snowfall, but duration will be short.
Accumulation Uncertainty and Travel Impacts
Even where snow falls steadily, surface and ground temperatures may limit accumulation:
- Roads may remain mostly wet, but bridges and overpasses could become slick
- Snow is more likely to accumulate on grassy and elevated surfaces
- Brief heavier bursts could still reduce visibility and create localized travel hazards
Because snowfall rates may briefly overcome marginal temperatures, short-term impacts cannot be ruled out.
Bottom Line for the Southeast
This is not expected to be a historic southern snowstorm, but it is a legitimate and rare winter weather event for parts of Alabama, Georgia, and Mississippi. The forecast remains sensitive, and confidence in exact amounts will stay limited until the system begins unfolding overnight.
Residents are encouraged to monitor conditions closely, especially if traveling early Sunday…