JACKSON, Mississippi — Strong to severe thunderstorms will continue this evening from eastern Texas into the lower Mississippi and Tennessee Valleys and southern Appalachians, with the strongest storms capable of producing EF2 or stronger tornadoes, damaging wind gusts, large hail and locally heavy to excessive rainfall. A Moderate Risk for flash flooding, level 3 out of 4, has been issued through overnight for central and southern Alabama and Mississippi where flash flooding is likely and some flooding events could be significant.
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Who Faces the Highest Flash Flood Risk Tonight
- Moderate Risk — at least 40% chance: Central and southern Mississippi including Jackson and Hattiesburg, extending into central and southern Alabama through Montgomery
- Slight Risk — at least 15%: Broader zone covering Little Rock, Shreveport, New Orleans, Nashville, Chattanooga, Atlanta and the Appalachian foothills corridor toward Charlotte
- Marginal Risk — at least 5%: Outer fringe stretching from eastern Texas through Tennessee and into the Carolinas