1049 AM UPDATE: Last two HRRR model runs show a brand new potential concern: mid afternoon supercells somewhere in Middle TN which could produce tornadoes. This was not in the forecast (or in any of the data) this morning, so take it with a grain of salt. We don’t hide data from you. Takeaway: pay attention to the weather ALL DAY, not just tonight.
Headline: A Tornado Outbreak is expected in eastern Arkansas, west Tennessee (including Memphis and Jackson), the MO bootheel, and western KY today and tonight.
“Tornado outbreak” is not a lightly used phrase for us. People shouldn’t throw it around. Today, it’s appropriate. We use it because the Storm Prediction Center did:
A tornado outbreak is expected today and tonight from parts of the lower Mississippi Valley into the Mid-South and lower Ohio Valley. Numerous tornadoes, along with multiple EF3+ tornadoes, appear likely…