ARKANSAS — A developing surface low positioned over the Mid-South is raising concerns for tornado potential this afternoon, as forecast data shows strong low-level instability and favorable vorticity across parts of eastern Arkansas, southeast Missouri, and western Tennessee.
New high-resolution model guidance suggests that while mid-level temperatures could limit widespread convection, the setup may still support quick-spin, low-topped tornadoes if storms manage to develop near the surface low.
Surface Low Positioned Over the Mid-South
Early analysis shows the surface low organizing near the Arkansas–Missouri region, placing much of eastern Arkansas, the Missouri Bootheel, and western Tennessee in a zone of enhanced spin and lift.
With the low tracking close to this corridor, localized forcing could help overcome mid-level warmth that might otherwise suppress deeper storms…