Former Alabama quarterback turned college football analyst Greg McElroy doesn’t think the Tennessee Vols stand a very good chance of reaching the College Football Playoff in 2024.
McElroy broke down several SEC team’s chances of reaching the 12-team playoff in 2024 on this week’s ” Always College Football ” and he gave Tennessee an absurdly low chance.
The former Alabama quarterback is only giving the Vols a 15 percent chance of reaching the playoff.
That’s compared to these percentages for the other playoff contenders in the SEC.
 Georgia — 90 percent 
 Texas — 70 percent 
 Alabama — 70 percent 
 Ole Miss — 60 percent 
 LSU — 55 percent 
 Missouri — 50 percent 
 Oklahoma — 10 percent 
“I think right now 8-4 is most likely,” said McElroy while discussing Tennessee in 2024. “I think 9-3 is well within reach. But at 8-4, I think the percentage chance that they make the 12-team playoff is about 15 percent.”
McElroy made those comments after acknowledging that Tennessee added LSU transfer offensive tackle Lance Heard this week.