Tennessee Winter Weather: Preliminary Outlook Warns of Heavy Snowfall 2025-26

Nashville, TN – Northern Tennessee could be in for a snowier winter than usual, as the 2025-26 Winter Weather Outlook warns of elevated heavy snow risk and stronger storms between December and February.

According to the National Weather Service (NWS) Climate Prediction Center, weak La Niña conditions are expected to develop this fall, shifting toward a neutral phase by mid-winter. Historically, this climate pattern brings colder air into the Tennessee Valley while steering more storm systems through the region. For northern Tennessee, this raises the potential for heavier-than-normal snowfall totals.

Meteorologists caution that the outlook is preliminary and influenced by short-term climate drivers. Patterns such as the Arctic Oscillation (AO) and Madden-Julian Oscillation (MJO) can dramatically change storm intensity and timing. These shifts could mean quiet stretches punctuated by sudden, disruptive snowstorms…

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