Central Florida residents may want to hold off on any outdoor Independence Day plans (at least until the forecast becomes clearer)—thanks to an emerging weather concern.
What We Know So Far
- The National Hurricane Center is tracking a frontal boundary expected to stall across the Southeast later this week. This feature, paired with tropical moisture, could form a subtropical or tropical low that nudges near the Florida Peninsula throughout the 4th of July weekend. Central Florida may be impacted.
- As of Sunday, the development odds remain low at approximately 20% over the next seven days, with little chance in the immediate 48 hours.
Rain Chances Over the Holiday Weekend
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- Central Florida forecasters expect daily showers and thunderstorms, at times heavy and slow-moving, from Friday through Sunday, favoring inland areas but also affecting beaches.
- Rain coverage may reach 60–70% each day, with 3–5 inches possible in some spots, especially Friday.
- Though a named storm isn’t expected, lightning, gusty winds (up to 50 mph), and localized flooding are real possibilities.