Tale of The Tape, Predictions: Louisville vs. NC State

LOUISVILLE, Ky. – Louisville (17-6, 7-4 ACC) is set to face NC State (18-6, 9-2 ACC) on Monday, Feb. 9 at 7:00 p.m. EST at the KFC Yum! Center. Here’s how the Cardinals stack up against the Wolfpack:

*Mobile users can scroll left and right on the tables below*

Rankings

NC State Louisville
AP/USAT RV/RV 24th/23rd
SOS 19th 41st
SOR 33rd 30th
NET 27th 17th
RPI 34th 29th
BPI 26th 11th
KenPom 24th 19th
Torvik 24th 19th
EvanMiya 22nd 24th

Team Leaders

NC State Louisville
Points Darrion Williams (14.7) Ryan Conwell (18.4)
Rebounds Ven-Allen Lubin (7.0) Sananda Fru (6.6)
Assists Quadir Copeland (7.0) Mikel Brown Jr. (5.3)
Steals Quadir Copeland (1.9) Ryan Conwell (1.3)
Blocks Ven-Allen Lubin (0.8) Sananda Fru (1.4)

Scoring

NC State Louisville
Points Per Game 85.7 85.7
Field Goal % 48.1 46.4
FGM/FGA Per Game 29.2/60.7 28.8/62.0
Three Point % 40.2 34.5%
3PTM/3PTA Per Game 11.0/27.3 11.5/33.4
Free Throw % 75.6 76.4
FTM/FTA Per Game 16.3/21.5 16.7/21.8

Rebounding

NC State Louisville
Rebounds Per Game 35.7 40.3
Off. Reb. Per Game 9.6 12.2
Def. Reb. Per Game 26.0 28.1
Rebound Margin 1.0 6.2

Defense

NC State Louisville
Opp. Points Per Game 72.5 70.7
Opp. FG% 42.9 40.4
Opp. 3PT% 34.0 33.7
Steals Per Game 8.6 7.1
Blocks Per Game 3.1 3.3
Turnovers Forced Per Game 13.8 12.4

Ball Handling

NC State Louisville
Assists Per Game 16.8 17.7
Turnovers Per Game 9.6 11.5
Turnover Margin 4.2 0.9
Assist/Turnover Ratio 1.74 1.54

Predictions

ESPN Prediction: Per ESPN’s Basketball Power Index, the Cardinals have a 75.8 percent chance to win against the Wolfpack. Louisville has a BPI rating of 19.6 (11th overall), whereas NC State has a BPI rating of 16.0 (26th overall).

– KenPom Prediction: Per KenPom.com, the Cardinals have a 66 percent chance to take down the Wolfpack, with a projected final score of 84-79 in favor of UofL. Louisville has an adjusted efficiency margin of +25.04 (19th overall), whereas NC State has an adjusted efficiency margin of +23.39 (24th overall)…

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