South Dakota Weather Update: 6 More Weeks of Winter? Feb–March–April 2026 Outlook for Sioux Falls, Rapid City

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Pierre, South Dakota – Winter may not be done shaping conditions across South Dakota, as Groundhog Day tradition and seasonal climate outlooks both suggest a slower transition toward spring. Punxsutawney Phil saw his shadow Monday morning, signaling six more weeks of winter and pushing expectations for consistent warmth closer to mid-March.

According to the National Weather Service, South Dakota is also placed in an “equal chances” category for temperatures from February through April. That keeps the potential for late-season cold snaps, snow events, and wide temperature swings in play statewide. Sioux Falls, Brookings, and Watertown could see repeated rounds of snow or mixed precipitation, while Rapid City and the Black Hills remain vulnerable to late-season snowstorms and gusty winds…

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