Alabama is expected to experience upper-level disturbances from Saturday afternoon through Monday afternoon. A slow-moving surface frontal boundary will likely cause heavy rainfall. The rain is predicted to start in the northwest sections of the state on Saturday afternoon, stall near the I-59 region until Sunday afternoon, and then move slowly southward, exiting the southeastern sections on Monday afternoon. Current models suggest a low likelihood of widespread severe storms from Sunday night into Monday.
There is a slight risk of severe storms south of a line from Livingston to Clanton to Wedowee in Randolph County. This could result in a few damaging wind gusts and tornadoes. The risk of severe weather is spread out, with the potential for a few severe storms early Monday, followed by another round later in the morning through the afternoon.
Rainfall totals of 2-4 inches are forecast north of Hwy 80/I-85 through Monday afternoon, with 0.5 – 1.5 inches expected south of this. Isolated flooding is possible from Saturday evening through early Monday north of I-20. As Alabama is in its peak severe weather season, residents are advised to prepare or review their severe weather plans.