The nonpartisan group Cook Political Report has shifted five House races toward Democrats, a sign of momentum for the party in the Midwest.
Two Iowa races have moved into toss-up territory, as Democrats look to oust Rep. Mariannette Miller-Meeks (R) in the 1st Congressional District and Rep. Zach Nunn (R) in the 3rd. An analysis from the election handicapper notes Miller-Meeks is a “uniquely weak” incumbent, and points to strong fundraising from Nunn’s Democratic challenger.
The pair of Iowa races join just 25 toss-up races nationwide, according to Cook’s ratings, as both parties battle for control of the lower chamber.
In Illinois and Indiana, contests for two Democratic incumbents have solidified from “lean” to “likely” blue. Rep. Eric Sorensen (D) is running for reelection in Illinois’s 17th Congressional District, and Rep. Frank J. Mrvan (D) in Indiana’s 1st. Vice President Harris looks set to win both districts “by a healthy margin,” Cook noted, boosting the Democrats downballot.