The numbers are in—and it seems that Mike Johnson is the favorite to become the next Speaker of the House, at least according to political betting markets.
And it’s not even close.
On widely popular prediction market platform Polymarket , the vast majority of political bettors have cast their wages in favor of Johnson, who was estimated as a 90.1% as of Thursday evening.
Meanwhile, other candidates, including Reps. Tom Emmer, Steve Scalise, and Jim Jordan, barely scratched the surface, averaging a little more than 1% each.
Johnson is the current Speaker of the House and is hoping to win reelection in a vote scheduled for Friday around noon. In November, he won unanimous support from House Republicans. The Louisiana Republican also received President-elect Donald Trump’s endorsement on Monday.
“The American people need IMMEDIATE relief from all of the destructive policies of the last Administration,” Trump wrote in a Truth Social post earlier this week. “Speaker Mike Johnson is a good, hard working, religious man. He will do the right thing, and we will continue to WIN. Mike has my Complete & Total Endorsement. MAGA!!!”