The next two days will be dominated by continued dry and quiet weather as high pressure moves across the region. On Tuesday, there will be a strengthening storm system well to the east of New England. The pressure gradient between the building high and the strengthening low will bring continued breezy weather with gusts of 20-25mph. The high pressure will eventually move overhead, leading to a slackening of the breeze as the afternoon progresses.
The combination of breezy conditions, low humidity and (obviously) dry conditions has resulted in the 13th red flag warning in the last five weeks for New England. Today’s warning is only in effect for Massachusetts. The alert was issued only for Massachusetts due to “active brush fire activity” across the state in the last 24 hours, including a 100+ acre one in Boxford and one approaching 50 acres in the Blue Hills Reservation.
After a dry Wednesday, New England’s first serious rainmaker in several weeks will begin to arrive from the south and west. A deepening trough near the Great Lakes will spawn a surface low pressure system just to the south of New England along an occluded front (the purple one on the map below).