Autumn Arrives, But Severe Weather Threat Continues

The autumnal equinox takes place this afternoon, officially marking the start of fall!

Despite the start of fall today, the weather pattern will stay active for a few more days, including the threat of severe storms, before cooler and more stable conditions settle in later this week.

What Can We Expect Today?

We’re in for a warm and very humid Monday with a mix of sun and clouds and a light south breeze. Temperatures will warm into the mid-80s under partly cloudy skies, but it’ll feel warmer than that when you tack on the humidity.

A slight chance will remain for a few isolated storms this afternoon along the Oklahoma/Arkansas state line region.

When Will Storms Return?

As we move into the overnight hours and early Tuesday morning, a complex of storms known as a mesoscale convective system (MCS) is likely to form and track from southern Kansas through northeastern Oklahoma.

Some of these storms will likely be severe, with the potential for large hail and damaging winds. There will remain a low-end probability of a brief tornado warning. Heavy rainfall could also lead to flooding in low-lying and flood-prone areas.

As storms move east of our area after early Tuesday morning, a brief lull in activity is expected before another round of potentially stronger to more severe storms attempts to develop across part of eastern OK into western Arkansas Tuesday afternoon. All modes of severe weather would be possible with these storms.

This graphic represents the potential for severe weather Tuesday. Part of this risk outlook could be slightly higher in subsequent updates.

When will we see more fall-like weather?

A cold front is expected to pass through the area Tuesday night into Wednesday, bringing a minor drop in temperatures and ushering in a more fall-like weather pattern for the remainder of the week…

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