On Saturday, BYU will travel to Forth Worth to take on the TCU Horned Frogs. The Cougars will be looking for their first win in Fort Worth since 2006. The last time BYU played TCU on the road, Josh Hoover dominated the Cougars in his first career start.
This time around, BYU will be a road favorite. ESPN FPI gives BYU a 70.5% chance to beat TCU. BYU opened as a 5.5-point favorite in this game. The line has moved in BYU’s favor and the Cougars are now favored by 6.5 points.
FPI Updates Prediction for BYU’s 2026 Season
BYU’s projected record decreased from 9.0-3.0 to 8.9-3.1 after the bye week. Most notably, BYU’s chances to beat Utah have significantly decreased since the preseason. FPI gives BYU just a 34.8% chance to beat Utah.
Below are the game-by-game predictions after the bye week.
- TCU: 70.5% (64.9% in the preseason)
- Iowa State: 84.6% (89.0% in the preseason)
- Notre Dame: 23.6% (24.0% in the preseason)
- UCF: 60.4% (67.7% in the preseason)
- ASU: 85.2% (78.9% in the prseason)
- Utah: 34.8% (58.7% in the preseason)
- Baylor: 77.7% (76.4% in the preseason)
- Kansas: 82.6% (71.9% in the preseason)
- Cincinnati: 80.1% (82.7% in the preseason)
Odds of a Special Season
BYU has delivered on high expectations so far this season. If the Cougars are going to meet preseason expectations and have a chance to make the College Football Playoff, they will need to win 10 or more regular season games. Using FPI win probabilities, there is a 35.5% chance that BYU will win 10 or more regular season games…