OKLAHOMA CITY, Oklahoma — Three consecutive days. Three separate high-risk zones. Three different regions of the country facing EF2 or stronger tornadoes and giant hail. The all-hazards severe weather outbreak that began Saturday across southeast Oklahoma and northeast Texas is not a single event — it is a rolling, three-day catastrophe in slow motion that shifts its bull’s-eye east with each passing day.
Today’s core sits over Oklahoma City and Dallas. Sunday’s core shifts north to Wichita and Kansas City. Monday’s core pushes east to St. Louis, Chicago, and Nashville. Every one of those cities faces the same label on the forecast map: EF2 or greater tornadoes and giant hail possible.
Today — Oklahoma City and Dallas Are the Bull’s-Eye
The Saturday map shows the most concentrated risk zone of the three-day sequence, with a dark red inner core sitting directly over Oklahoma City and the surrounding metro extending south toward Dallas and Shreveport. This is the zone that already received the SPC upgrade to EF3 potential across the Ada-Durant-Hugo corridor in southeast Oklahoma.
Supercells near a warm front are the mechanism today. Warm fronts create a sharp boundary in the low levels of the atmosphere where wind direction changes dramatically over a very short distance, producing intense localized wind shear that spinning supercells can exploit to produce violent tornadoes. The warm front position across south-central Oklahoma today is the geographic focus of the most dangerous tornado potential…