TEXAS — An in-house computer model isn’t messing around, showing some big-time rainfall totals as far out as the model can currently take it, from today through 3 a.m. Wednesday. This risk was mentioned a couple nights ago regarding wonky rainfall totals possible across the western half of the coverage area.
Uvalde and Bracketville Show the Highest Potential Totals
The rainfall forecast model shows Uvalde with a staggering potential total of 10.26 inches by 3 a.m. Wednesday, with nearby Bracketville close behind at 8.47 inches. These West Texas communities stand out with by far the highest projected rainfall totals across the entire forecast area.
Bandera also shows a significant total of 5.97 inches, while Kerrville is projected to see 4.37 inches, keeping the Texas Hill Country under the heaviest expected rainfall in this model run.
Del Rio and Eagle Pass Also Face Heavy Rainfall Potential
Del Rio is projected to see 3.66 inches of rain, while Eagle Pass could receive around 4.99 inches by Wednesday morning. Leakey and Hondo are also forecast to see notable totals of 2.64 and 1.65 inches respectively as the heavy rain axis extends across this southwestern corridor.
Totals Drop Off Sharply Toward San Antonio and the Coast
Rainfall totals decrease significantly moving east and south, with San Antonio projected to see only 0.65 inches and New Braunfels around 0.83 inches. Coastal communities including Beeville and Goliad show minimal totals under a quarter inch, illustrating the sharp gradient between the heavily impacted western zone and areas farther east.
Given the scale of the projected totals in the western Hill Country, residents in that corridor should monitor forecast updates closely as this model trend continues to be evaluated ahead of Wednesday…