Moderate Risk of excessive rainfall issued, life-threatening flash floods forecast for south-central Texas

A Moderate Risk (Level 3 of 4) of excessive rainfall has been issued for parts of south-central Texas through Tuesday morning, July 14, by the Weather Prediction Center (WPC).

Repeated thunderstorms are forecast to produce rainfall rates capable of triggering flash flooding. The National Water Center (NWC) warns that life-threatening flash flooding is possible across portions of southwest Texas as the event unfolds.

The Moderate Risk area includes portions of the southern Hill Country, the San Antonio metropolitan area, and areas extending west toward the Rio Grande.

Weather models show more than 70% probablity of rainfall totals of over 76 mm (3 inches) while there is more than a 50% chance of totals exceeding 127 mm (5 inches) within the Moderate Risk area. Model runs also indicate rainfall could exceed local three-hour flash flood guidance during the early morning hours…

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