Howdy!
Happy Saturday! Looking out the window, we can see currently there are clouds covering Louisiana, most of Mississippi, and at the gulf coast of Alabama (Courtesy: NOAA). The radar (NWS) shows some moderate to heavier showers falling in the region, mostly on the coast of Mississippi out near Gulfport all the way to Hattiesburg. Alabama’s coast is also seeing lots of rain.
Temperatures currently range from low 70s all the way to the mid 80s. Dewpoints fall into the low 70s for much of the region, highest in New Orleans falling at 75.9. So pretty humid for everyone out there!
This weekend is playing out to be a wet one. As denoted below with the red dashed line off the coast of Louisiana, that tropical trough has closed in along the gulf coast, bringing with it lots of moisture to trigger those showers we are seeing.
We can see that moisture plume below in the Total Precipitable Water model heading into Louisiana and southern Mississippi. Largest chances of rain fall in these regions today, but all of our region is planning to see showers and thunderstorms at some point this weekend and going into Monday next week.
Broad subtropical ridging continues to be the pattern for the region going into next week. There is a weak trough-like pattern over Texas that could slightly influence any convection happening in Louisiana, but like I said it is pretty weak and will continue to be so for the next couple of days. Convection follows the flow of this pattern, heading east with time, greatest chances of rain for Alabama and Georgia being on Sunday and Monday…