AUSTIN (KXAN) — Meteorological summer begins with the start of June, following after a wet spring.
The preliminary one-month outlook from the Climate Prediction Center points toward a fairly “normal” next month ahead of a pattern leaning wetter for parts of the Hill Country.
The recent rain in the ground, combined with a weather pattern that’s not conducive to persistent “heat domes,” suggests near-normal temperatures in June.
What’s ‘normal’ for June in Austin?
June happens to be both our third warmest and third wettest month of the year. It also comes toward the end of Central Texas’ severe weather season, and leads into hotter and drier months.
- Average High: 93.2º
- June 1 Average High: 91º
- June 30 Average High: 95º
- Average Low: 72.9º
- June 1 Average Low: 71º
- June 30 Average Low: 74º
- Average Rain: 3.68″ (3rd wettest month on average)
El Niño to begin any day now
We’re on the cusp of the beginning of El Niño as our brief period of ENSO Neutral comes to an end. For the most part, an El Niño summer doesn’t correlate to specific weather impacts here in Central Texas. We see more impacts from it in the late fall and into winter (wetter and cooler).
Most of its impacts will be seen in the tropics, where it will suppress tropical development.
June 1 marks the Atlantic Hurricane Season’s start. It’s typically a fairly quiet month in the tropics. Based on climatology, areas where storms are more likely to form include the Gulf and off the southeastern U.S. coastline.
Earlier in May, NOAA released their Atlantic Hurricane Season forecast for 2026 pointing toward a slightly below average season…