TEXAS — A significant severe weather outbreak is set to impact Texas and surrounding states on Sunday, May 10, 2026 — Mother’s Day — with an Enhanced Risk Level 3 of 5 centered directly over Dallas and the surrounding region. Very large hail of 2 inches or greater, significant damaging winds of 74 MPH or higher, and a few tornadoes are all possible. The categorical outlook was updated May 9, 2026 at 3:56 AM ET.
The Risk Zones for Sunday May 10
The outlook shows a multi-tiered risk structure across Texas and the South Central United States:
Enhanced Risk — Level 3 of 5 centered over:
- Dallas, Texas
- Surrounding north and central Texas corridor
Slight Risk — Level 2 of 5 extending across:
- Lubbock and Amarillo, Texas
- Oklahoma City and Tulsa, Oklahoma
- Shreveport, Louisiana
- Little Rock, Arkansas
- Houston, Texas
- San Antonio, Texas
Marginal Risk — Level 1 of 5 covering a wide area including:
- Memphis, Tennessee
- Jackson, Mississippi
- New Orleans, Louisiana
- Mobile, Alabama
- Nashville, Tennessee
- Birmingham, Alabama
- Springfield, Missouri
- Wichita, Kansas
What Makes Sunday’s Threat Significant
The Enhanced Risk on Sunday is driven by two specific high-end hazards:
Primary Threat Details…