MEMPHIS, Tennessee — A significant and dangerous severe weather outbreak is underway today across the central and southeastern United States, with very high to near-certain probability of hail within thunderstorms stretching from northern Texas through Arkansas, Mississippi, and Tennessee into Kentucky and parts of Alabama. The hail probability map shows the red and pink core — representing 80 to 100% probability — centered directly over the Memphis corridor, making this one of the most concentrated hail threat zones seen across the region this spring. A significant cold front, high atmospheric instability, deep Gulf of Mexico moisture, and strong wind shear are all combining to fuel supercell thunderstorms capable of large hail, severe wind gusts, heavy rainfall, and locally even tornadoes.
Which Cities and States Are Inside the Highest Hail Probability Zone Right Now
The map makes the threat distribution very clear. The darkest red and pink shading — 90 to 100% hail probability — is concentrated in a broad zone centered on Memphis and extending outward through northern Mississippi, eastern Arkansas, and western Tennessee. Here is exactly where each major city stands.
City State Hail Probability Threat Level
Memphis…