NASHVILLE, Tenn. (WKRN) — A rather quiet spring severe weather season in Middle Tennessee will wake up as the month of April concludes. There are two days to be alert for possible severe weather. The first will be late Friday evening into early Saturday, and the second (and likely the most active) will be this upcoming Monday.
The severe risk for Friday is a Marginal Risk (level 1/5) and for nearly all of Middle Tennessee and Southern Kentucky. Monday’s risk is a 15% Slight Risk (level 2/5) for areas along and west of I-65.
RADAR | Track weather across TN live
There is an isolated severe risk ahead of a cold front from Friday into early Saturday. Wind gusts, heavy rain, and hail are the main concerns.
Similar to the most recent storms from last week (on Thursday, April 16, 2026), the storm threat will increase from Missouri and Kentucky and dive into the region. This will bring the threat of wind gusts as the main severe concern.
FORECAST: Middle Tennessee & Southern KentuckyWeather
On Saturday, the cold front will be slow-moving through Middle Tennessee and Southern Kentucky. Areas of rain with isolated storms are expected with rain chances ending by the evening.
At this time, Sunday’s rain chances are very low. There could be some morning fog Sunday, but sunshine in the afternoon helps temperatures reach the 70s to lower 80s.
Monday is the day to watch for the greater, areawide, severe risk. A 15%, level 2/5, Slight Risk is in effect for areas along and west of Interstate 65. While this risk has changed, all of Middle Tennessee and Southern Kentucky need to be on guard for potential severe storms early next week. All threats are possible, including tornadoes.
ALERTS | Weather advisories in Middle Tennessee
The model data has various outcomes for how Monday could play out, so there is no Future Tracker to show at this time. But, there are definite trends. For the severe weather ingredients, everything is in place. The one question mark for now is instability, and that will depend upon if morning storms occur on Monday and when the storms develop.
The key takeaway, this weather setup does support severe weather in the region. While it is still several days out, it will not be until Friday that the first round of high-resolution model data is available.
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